How to determine a trend reversal without indicators: working and effective tools. Reversal indicators - choosing the best market reversal indicator The best reversal indicator for a long period
Trend following is an exercise in observing and reacting to each current moment (c)
Many people associate big earnings, especially in the Forex market, with “swindling”, when a person thinks that he will definitely be deceived and in the end he will also lose money rather than gain it. This opinion is shared by those who do not know how to make money on the foreign exchange market and do not even want to understand the essence of trading.
Ignorance is what drives people to be critical, aggressive, and skeptic about the Forex market. However, there are many examples of successful people who have made money in trading.
Why determine trend strength?
The strength of a trend must be determined in order to understand the degree of duration and stability of the trend.
Everything is extremely simple: the greater the strength of the trend, the longer it will last, therefore, it will be more difficult to reverse it.
Holding a position along a strong trend gives excellent profit. We can also say that the depth of the price rollback (correction) depends on the strength of the trend. The stronger the trend, the smaller the rollback and, accordingly, the smaller the strength of the trend, the larger the price correction.
The strength of a trend depends on the sequence of development: when the price is steadily rising/falling, it is a strong trend. Thus, the stronger the trend, the greater the profit on your trade.
How to determine the strength of a trend?
To determine the strength of a trend, you can follow 4 main methods that have proven themselves well among traders:
- using the slope of the trend line.
- using support and resistance lines;
- using the ADX indicator;
- using the iVAR indicator.
Determining trend strength using the slope of the trend line
With a stable, strong trend, the price moves along the trend line, the angle of which is approximately 45 degrees, i.e. movement along the diagonal.
Schedule 1
To determine the strength of a trend by its slope, follow these rules:
- Draw a trend line based on the 2nd or 3rd minimums in an uptrend, and on the highs in a downward trend; for this, use the standard MT4 tool "trend line by angle."
- If the line slope is approximately 45%: the trend is stable and strong.
- Watch how the price moves relative to the trend line.
- If the price moves parallel to the trend line: the trend is strong and stable.
Chart 1 shows an example for a downward trend.
Determining trend strength using support/resistance levels
To determine the strength of an uptrend
- Draw resistance lines (you can build them yourself or using the “Levels” indicator).
- If the price approached the resistance level, then rolled back, and then rose again and broke through the resistance level - the trend is strong. The price will continue to rise.
- If after 2-3 attempts the price was unable to break through the resistance level, the trend is weak.
To determine the strength of a downtrend using resistance lines you need to:
- Draw support lines (you can build them yourself or using the “Levels” indicator).
- If the price approached the support level, then rolled back, and then fell again and broke through the support level - the trend is strong. The price will decrease.
- If after 2-3 attempts the price has not broken through the support level - the trend is weak.
- When the price breaks the support/resistance level– the current trend is strengthening, becoming stronger.
- When price bounces from support/resistance level– the current trend is weakening and there is a high probability of a price reversal.
Determining trend strength using the ADX indicator
The ADX indicator is an excellent tool with which you can determine the strength of a trend.
The indicator has 3 lines, the colors of which you can change:
- Green dotted line +Di: Shows the strength of the uptrend.
- Brown dotted line –Di: Shows the strength of the downtrend.
- Red solid line: Shows the strength of the trend without regard to direction.
To determine the strength of a trend using ADX, follow these rules:
- Look at the red line of the ADX indicator.
- The higher the line, the stronger the trend, which will soon end.
- If it is below level 20: flat market.
- If it is above level 20: A trend begins.
- If it is above level 40-50: high probability of price rollback.
- If 3 lines are intertwined below level 20: a strong trend is approaching.
!Important to remember that the ADX indicator does not indicate the direction of the trend, it only shows its strength.
Determining trend strength using the iVAR indicator
This indicator allows you to quickly assess the strength of a trend. It is very simple and understandable in its parameters and use: a broken line is formed under the price chart, which “spins” near the 0.5 level.
To determine the strength of a trend using IVAR, follow these rules:
1. If the indicator line is below 0.5– this is a strong trend. A too low indicator indicates the end of a trend or the beginning of a correction.
2. If the indicator line is above 0.5– this is a flat, sideways movement, trading is not recommended. A too high indicator indicates the beginning of a trend.
3. If the indicator line is in the 0.5 zone– this is uncertainty, flat, trading is not recommended.
The IVAR indicator should be used in trading in combination with other indicators or added to your own trading strategy.
What else will help determine the strength of a trend?
We have determined the direction and strength of the trend, and if the trend is strong, you need to find a specific entry point. You can determine it using the 2nd Elder screen. And you will learn how to do this as efficiently as possible from the course “Forex Without Risk”.
Determining Trend Strength– this is just one of the initial stages that helps to find entry points. To find truly profitable points, it is worth doing a “triple check”. To do this, you can use the “Elder's Three Screens” strategy, which allows you to analyze the market on 3 timeframes - daily (D1), four-hour (H4) and hourly (H1) - in order to get the maximum profit on the transaction. This strategy is the basis of the “Forex without Risk” course.
You decide for yourself which strategy to follow when trading on the foreign exchange market. However, the special course “Forex without Risk” will help you:
- determine the trend;
- identify entry points;
- build resistance and support levels;
- find profitable patterns on the chart;
- manage capital and risks.
The best indicator of the effectiveness of the course is the statement from our students:
Trend reversal indicators are one of the main auxiliary tools for traders working with binary options. Today, for binary options, a large number of indicators without redrawing have been developed and used.
These trend reversal indicators for mt4 may have differences depending on the current market situation and the duration of the options, but it is impossible to completely refuse the signals they produce.
Why is it profitable to use algorithms such as trend reversal indicators on binary options?
As you know, in most cases for binary options, . In other words, the trader initially determines the main vector of price movement on senior time charts and only then looks for signals on.
It is for this reason that you may have a question: “Why use trend reversal indicators for binary options and find turning points, if all the famous binary experts use exclusively a trend approach in their strategies?”
Let's give a few arguments that will help you understand why it is beneficial to use trend reversal indicators for binary options, and without redrawing.
The first thing to note is that any market trend has an origin and outcome, so you still have to choose some signs and criteria that will help you reliably determine whose power dominates the market (buyers/sellers).
Second– almost any author of a classic textbook on options trading in mt4 gives examples based on history, and when the time comes for practical trading, most of these trading strategies begin to generate signals with a delay, that is, just before trend reversals, which leads to natural losses .
Well, the third argument– a trend rarely changes direction “smoothly”; on the contrary, it most often breaks with a “crack” and it is precisely at these moments that a powerful reversal impulse appears, using which you can make a good profit.
And the simplest and most effective way to recognize turning points in a trend is, of course, to use technical analysis tricks, and these are what we will tell you about.
Trend reversal indicator – MACD, used for binary options in the MT4 terminal
Trend reversal indicators are algorithms that provide signals to change the direction of an existing trend and assist in making appropriate decisions about market entry opposite to the existing movement. For this type of trading, it is important to use indicators without or with minimal redrawing, since it often happens that the assumption of a change in trend direction turns out to be imaginary and the trend continues to move in the same direction. For these purposes, it is recommended to use additional filters to clearly identify our turning points.
One of the main counter-trend indicators is, of course, MACD, since its signal line clearly crosses the baseline, which is a powerful signal that in the very near future the trend will reverse in the opposite direction.
For binary options in mt4, the MACD indicator is very convenient to use. For example, MACD is used on the minute timeframe for the USD/CAD pair.
The chart shows the purchase points of the “Down” and “Up” options depending on the indicator signal. As you can see, when the histogram moves from the “0” mark to the negative zone, you should buy the “Down” option, and vice versa, when the indicator histogram moves from the zero mark to the positive zone, buy the “Up” option.
Let us immediately note that the levels of the indicator histogram, which look like hills with slopes and peaks, indicate a state of volatility. When the market approaches the trough (inverted hill - oversold zone) or the top of the hill (overbought zone), this means that the quote will soon reverse. As you understand, you should not buy options near the tops of the hills and troughs of the MACD, since in such zones the trend fades and may reverse.
Spearman indicator. Practice of trading on trend reversals in binary options
You can find classic trend reversal indicators in , but we want to introduce you to such a non-standard indicator for binary options as the Spearman analyst’s rank correlation oscillator.
Looking at the chart, at first glance you might think that the Spearman trend reversal indicator is the same stochastic, but this is not so. Thanks to some formula features built into the Spearman oscillator, it is often capable of generating reversal, leading signals:
For the most effective trading using the Spearman trend indicator, it is recommended to adhere to the following:
both trend reversals and binary options themselves must be analyzed on time intervals longer than one minute (five minutes and older);
options " Higher» buy after the main line of the indicator, indicated in the example in red, touches the lower range boundary and crosses its average value from bottom to top;
options " Below» acquired in the opposite situation;
It is best if the distance between the signal lines exceeds 5 points. This is necessary to avoid the situation presented in the graph below.
As you can see, there is a false signal here. If the market arrives in the same state, then you should not buy binary options at a trend reversal, but you can no longer trade in the previous direction.
Working with trend reversals using the Aroon indicator for binary options
When considering trend reversal indicators, without redrawing for binary options, we cannot fail to mention the one used in mt4. This algorithm makes it possible to predict not only the trend direction and price changes, but also its strength.
In other words, Aroon is able to determine the moment when a trend fades and predict its subsequent change or continuation of development in the same direction.
Visually, the indicator looks like two lines – “AroonUp” (red) and “AroonDown” (blue). The first indicates the number of periods since the daily high occurred, and the second indicates the number of periods relative to the low.
The indicator lines are measured within the border from 0 to 100. At the same time, Aroon has 4 important levels - “0”, “3o”, “7o” and “100” and is based on the following signals:
- the intersection of AroonDown and AroonUp from bottom to top means a bullish signal;
- the intersection of AroonDown and AroonUp from top to bottom gives a bearish signal;
- the parallel direction of both lines indicates consolidation.
Trading using this indicator is quite simple. When Aroon is below the “+50” mark, the market is moving upward, and you can safely purchase the “Higher” option; if the indicator crosses the zero line and begins to approach the “-50” mark, then buy the “Below” option.
As you can see, trend reversal indicators in technical analysis play a fairly important role. If you learn to use them correctly, positive results will come immediately.
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